Super Over Simulator

Every IPL finish boils down to one showdown: the best death bowler in the world against the best finisher. Bumrah vs Klaasen. Rashid vs Hardik. Starc vs Buttler. This simulator lets you run that exact matchup, ball by ball, using probability distributions tuned from public IPL 2022-2025 data. Pick any of eight elite bowlers on one side and eight elite batters on the other, optionally lock the random seed so you can share a specific over, and hit Simulate Over. The tool rolls six dice-style outcomes (dot, 1, 2, 3, 4, 6, or wicket) weighted for the specific matchup, and shows a ball-by-ball log plus the final score and wickets. Great for pre-match banter, Dream11 gut-checks, and learning which matchups genuinely favour the bowler vs which are finisher territory.

How the Probability Model Works

Each bowler-batter pair has a seven-outcome distribution that sums to 1.0. Baselines come from each bowler's death-over economy and each batter's strike rate against that bowler-type. Then pair-specific tweaks layer on top — Bumrah vs Salt lifts the wicket probability because of Bumrah's track record against openers in the death; Klaasen vs a wrist-spinner lifts the six probability because Klaasen's 2024 SR vs wrist-spin was 210+.

The 8 Bowlers & Why They Are Picked

• Jasprit Bumrah (MI) — best death bowler in the world, yorker specialist.
• Rashid Khan (GT) — middle-over squeeze + death-over stealth.
• Mitchell Starc (KKR) — left-arm seam, old-ball skid.
• Arshdeep Singh (PBKS) — death specialist, swing to right-handers.
• Sunil Narine (KKR) — mystery spin, powerplay and middle overs.
• Yuzvendra Chahal (PBKS) — most wickets in IPL history, flight and guile.
• Kuldeep Yadav (DC) — chinaman, middle-over wicket-taker.
• Maheesh Theekshana (CSK) — mystery spin, carrom ball, death overs.

The 8 Batters & Why They Are Picked

• Virat Kohli (RCB) — chasemaster, calm under the lights.
• Heinrich Klaasen (SRH) — the most feared six-hitter vs spin.
• Jos Buttler (GT) — powerplay assassin, 360-degree in the death.
• Travis Head (SRH) — left-hander, fastest scorer in IPL 2024.
• Ruturaj Gaikwad (CSK) — pure timing, cover-drive specialist.
• Sanju Samson (CSK) — explosive wicket-keeper, clean hitter of spin.
• Hardik Pandya (MI) — finisher, power vs pace.
• Phil Salt (RCB) — explosive opener, ramp shots vs yorkers.

Frequently Asked Questions

Does the simulator account for venue or weather?

No — it is a pure head-to-head simulator. For venue-adjusted predictions, use our Match Winnability Predictor.

How many balls does a super over have?

A super over is six legal balls per side. This simulator runs the six balls of one side's super over. A wide or no-ball would in real cricket add an extra delivery; for simplicity the model only rolls legal-ball outcomes.

Can a batter score off a wicket ball?

No. In the model a wicket outcome ends that ball with zero runs. Future versions may add byes/leg-byes, but the current tool keeps it clean: one of seven outcomes per ball.

Why does the same matchup give different totals each run?

The simulator samples from a probability distribution, so variance is baked in — exactly like a real over. Run the same matchup 100 times and you will see the distribution of outcomes; the average is the expected value.

Can I use this for betting?

No. It is a toy model intended for entertainment and fantasy-cricket context. Real over outcomes depend on pitch condition, dew, boundary size, and ball age — none of which this tool captures.